In a similar vein, I was told that, rather than become an economist or a CEO,
which was my ambition, I should look to become a specialist in, for example,
Belgian patent law. Now, you can’t say that either of those pieces of advice
viewed in the context of history has been very wide of the mark. What then of
the future for accountancy? And, in particular, accountants?
I was involved in a piece of research a couple of years ago that was looking
generically at the future of work. The hypothesis is that work will reflect
those institutions or companies that are doing the employing. The theory then –
now borne out by developments – was that the US will continue to be an
entrepreneurial economy, Europe will be dominated by the state and Asia Pacific,
particularly India and China, will reflect the US model.
The introduction of ‘just-in-time’ protocols in manufacturing and the role
now fulfilled by the internet and modern telecommunications has given rise to
outsourcing becoming a well established part of our life. What does this mean
for the future of the professions?
It would be wrong to be complacent. Call centres in Bangalore and
manufacturing in China, India and Brazil are not fads: they are here for the
long term. The next competitive threat from these developing economies can be
found in intellectual property and professional talent.
Restrictions to entry in conventional professional practice may well
continue, but as margins tighten, the only place where costs can be cut will be
with management and this includes professional costs.
Managers resent regulatory creep into their daily lives. I have been in
boardrooms where certain issues prompted the response from the chairman or the
chief executive, ‘Ring Herbert Smith, Linklaters or PwC’. That call will still
be made, but from where, in terms of location, will the response come?
Those of you who are qualified and working in practice or government, or any
sector or industry for that matter, need to think very carefully about your
career prospects. By the way, that includes your pensions planning.
Andrew Garner is chief executive officer of Garner International
Does Darwin's theory apply to taxation? Colin ponders...
The EC has been instructed to draft a European Union (EU) directive authorising an EU financial transaction tax, which would apply to ten of the EU’s 28 member states
Accountancy watchdog the FRC has dropped its investigation into the former chief financial officer of Tesco, nearly two years after the supermarket was engulfed in an accounting scandal
Colin imagines how Apple's logo might change in the wake of the EC's ruling over its Irish tax arrangements