Solar and wind may look overvalued, but venture capitalists are confident
there are still plenty of promising clean tech investments to be had during the
downturn
Clean tech firms specialising in energy efficiency, material design and
packaging will become increasingly attractive to investors as venture
capitalists begin to move away from the over hyped fields of solar and wind
energy, according to a panel of industry experts.
Speaking at the
Library House Essential
Cleantech conference in London earlier today, Patrick Sheehan, founding
partner of investment firm Environmental
Technologies Fund, said that while it would be unfair to claim that clean
tech was experiencing an investment "bubble", there was "too much enthusiasm"
attached to some sectors, most notably solar.
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His comments were echoed by Luciano Diana, vice president and head of clean
energy equity research at Morgan Stanley, who added that the onset of recession
would make it harder still for more established clean tech sectors to attract
investment.
"Only the better projects will find capital," he said. "We'd expect to see a
deceleration in growth for wind, for example. It'll still expand at over 20 per
cent… but higher capital costs and lower returns will mean the rate of growth
will slow."
However, experts agreed that while some firms will find it harder to attract
investment, less high profile green technologies should still be able to raise
capital.
"If you look at areas like solar there are a lot of people on that bandwagon,
so investors are starting to look not at whole sectors, but niches within those
sectors' supply chains," explained Dave Raval, manager of the
Carbon Trust TTP Incubator.
"We've invested in a company called Orecon, for example, which is developing
[energy] converters for the marine sector. No one else is making those at the
moment but it is an area where someone will make a shed load of money."
Similarly, Sheehan highlighted suppliers of new materials, primarily in the
field of packaging, as a low profile but potentially attractive area for
investors.
However, it is improvements in energy efficiency that experts agree
represents the next "hot sector" for clean tech investors.
"We have built our economies based on the assumption of cheap energy,"
observed Justin Adams, business unit leader for venturing at
BP Alternative
Energy. "But that is an assumption that is no longer valid for the coming
decades. That means there is a huge opportunity to be had in energy efficiency.
"
Sheehan added that the focus on cost cutting engendered by any economic
downturn would also help raise the profile of energy efficiency, arguing that
improvements in the efficiency of industrial processes would be required
alongside advances in the efficiency of electrical appliances.
"You can find niches in these industrial sectors, that, when you look at them
closely, turn out to be huge," he said.
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