Southern hemisphere economies will struggle to adapt to the realities of
climate change, while northern countries with developed economies will be better
able to cope, according to a climate change index published by risk management
and corporate responsibility research firm
Maplecroft.
The report, which features a "risk index" built from criteria including
poverty levels, agriculture, and population settlement, positioned Canada as the
country most able to deal with climate change. The USA and the UK ranked 11th
and 12th respectively, behind France and Scandinavian countries such as Finland
and Denmark.
In addition to examining country-level trends, Kevin Franklin, director of
research strategy for Maplecroft, explained that the report's data set drilled
down to a 25 square kilometre level to predict the fortunes of particular
regions.
"There are certain elements or parts that are more darkly shaded, and it
isn't necessarily down to coastal zones," he said, referring to the dark shades
on Maplecroft’s world map of climate change vulnerability, which indicated areas
at particular risk. "It depends on the nature of the country."
The regional analysis showed south western US being more susceptible to
climate change than the north east, for example, a finding that the
US
Government's own report has also supported.
Africa, the Middle East, and Asia were the most vulnerable regions on the
map. East Africa will be in particular trouble; Comoros, an island country close
to Madagascar, was the country most vulnerable to climate change, with Somalia
and Burundi running second and third.
Policy makers would be interested in the report, Franklin said, but added
that multinational businesses are its primary target. "It will advise them on
certain countries and how to mitigate their risks there," he said. "It also
helps them to predict the impact on any investment decisions they may be making,
or to ensure that the appropriate measures are taken to safeguard their
investments."
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