Airport operator BAA has pledged to reduce the number of flights that would
take off and land at an expanded Heathrow if airlines fail to adopt cleaner and
quieter fleets as quickly as expected.
The commitment comes as BAA and the government face fresh allegations that
the consultation process for a third runway at Heathrow was flawed and that
emissions and noise data was manipulated to strengthen the case for expansion.
The allegations, which are to appear in tonight's BBC Panorama
show, centre on evidence that airport operator BAA made up a "virtual" jet for
inclusion in the environmental modelling undertaken in the government
consultation after it realised the use of existing four-engine planes on the
third runway meant it would likely exceed legal limits for noise and pollution.
According to BAA, the new 450-seat "green" jumbo would boast just two engines
and by 2030 would account for more flights out of Heathrow than existing
four-engine planes such as the Airbus A380.
However, neither Airbus nor Boeing currently plan to build such a plane, with
one industry source
telling
the Sunday Times that "nothing like this is on the drawing board".
"I don't think it's feasible because the size of engines that would be
required for this plane to safely take off do not exist and are not under
development," he added.
The revelations represent another blow to the government's support for a
third runway.
Last week, business secretary John Hutton again hinted at the government's
support for expansion, claiming it was ready to take "difficult decisions on
airport expansion". However, ministers have been forced to delay the final
decision on Heathrow's expansion following protests from local residents,
threatened legal action from environmental groups claiming that the official
consultation process was flawed and biased, and the publication of a
report
from the Environment Agency raising concerns that the expansion would lead
to the breaching of legally binding environmental standards.
The allegations regarding BAA's "virtual jet" are just the latest in a series
of revelations suggesting that some of the data used to make the case for a
third runway was skewed to ensure the expanded airport would not breach
regulations on noise and air pollution.
Earlier this year, a Sunday Times investigation revealed BAA and the
Department for Transport had worked together to alter data featured in the
official consultation. For example, the paper found that BAA initially predicted
that 20 per cent of planes taking off from Heathrow by 2030 would be four-engine
jets, but subsequently cut the figure to 11 per cent and then to six per cent
when fears emerged about noise and pollution levels.
It also obtained emails under the freedom of information act that reveal
government officials suspected BAA's projections were over optimistic.
However, BAA today defended its role in the consultation process and insisted
the "virtual jet" was an accurate prediction of the type of cleaner and more
efficient aircraft likely to be in place by 2030.
Speaking to BusinessGreen.com, a spokeswoman for the company said
that given improvements in aircraft's environmental performance and commitments
by all major aerospace manufacturers to reduce noise levels from new aircraft by
50 per cent on 2000 levels by 2050, the "virtual jet" represented a plausible
representation of future aircraft design.
She also added that even if the twin engine 450-seat design was not adopted
the third runway was still not expected to result in a breach of environmental
regulations. "The Government's environmental modelling shows that even without
this aircraft a third runway at Heathrow could meet air quality limits at
702,000 Air Transport Movements in 2020 and meet noise limits at 605,000 ATMs in
2020," she said. "It would therefore be inaccurate to say that the development
of this aircraft is necessary for a third runway to meet environmental limits."
BAA also insisted that were cleaner and quieter aircraft not to emerge as
quickly as anticipated, the operator would simply reduce the number of flights
from the airport.
"The environmental limits set out in the 2003 Air Transport White
Paper are absolute and non-negotiable, [and] they set the environmental
parameters within which an expanded Heathrow must operate," explained a BAA
spokeswoman. "Modelling and forecasting are necessarily uncertain, but can still
provide a useful indication of likely future impacts… If, however, slower fleet
replacement or slower advancement of new technology means that noise and air
quality emissions do not reduce as quickly as predicted, then airport capacity
will grow more slowly than predicted."
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