The solar cell industry will grow by $7bn a year up to 2010, at which point
it will be receiving as much funding each year as the semiconductor sector.
That is the conclusion of a new report from US technology research firm
iSuppli, which said that booming demand
for solar energy would fuel a 40 per cent annual increase in the size of the
photovoltaic (PV) cell industry – to almost $30bn within two years.
PV, which involves the creation of electricity using sunlight-absorbing
cells, has already been growing at a rate of 25 per cent a year and is worth
around $15bn (£30bn) a year, according Deutsche Bank.
"Nearly all market participants plan to increase their sales by a compound
annual growth rate of 40 to 50 per cent during the next few years," said Dr.
Henning Wicht, senior director and principal analyst at iSuppli.
He added that the rapid growth was being driven by surging oil costs, as well
as rising demand for energy as a result of population growth. "Projections show
the world will need three to four times more electrical power over the next 50
years to support continued growth in population and economic output," the report
stated.
Wicht said that for the growth to be sustained the industry would need to
receive investment inflows of at least $500m to fund the increased manufacturing
capacity.
The iSuppli report follows a paper by
RNCOS earlier this month, which forecast
that PV cells would power two billion homes by 2025 and account for 10 per cent
of the world's power by 2035.
The paper also claimed that by 2020, about 50,000 megawatts worth of PV
systems would be installed annually, up by a factor of nearly 20 times from 2007
levels.
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