The supply chain bottlenecks and rising costs that are currently afflicting
many offshore wind projects and recently prompted oil giant
Shell
to end its involvement in the high profile Thames Array project are likely
to be resolved in the near future, according to representatives of the UK wind
industry.
Dr Gordon Edge, director of economics and markets at the
British Wind Energy Association (BWEA), said
that while the sector was currently experiencing a "supply crunch", new
manufacturers were fast emerging to meet growing demand for both onshore and
offshore wind turbines.
"There are now 20 wind turbine manufacturers in China, and we know of seven
new companies in development specifically targeting offshore wind," he observed,
adding that the emergence of Chinese manufacturers, who are primarily focused on
onshore turbines and boast relatively low cost bases, will also force
established operators to increase their focus on the offshore market.
His comments come just days after a
report
from analyst firm Cambridge Energy Research Associates warned that increased
raw material costs and supply chain bottlenecks, such as a shortage of the
barges required to install offshore turbines, would drive up capital costs for
offshore wind projects by a further 20 per cent.
Rising costs were identified by Shell as the primary reason behind the
company’s decision to divest its stake in the London Array offshore wind farm,
while leading Danish wind turbine manufacturer Vestas last week argued that the
high cost of offshore projects should lead to an increased focus on onshore
alternatives.
Angus McCrone of analyst firm New
Energy Finance agreed project costs were rising, driven by a combination of
increasing steel prices and the fact that the next generation of offshore wind
farms tend to be located in deeper water. However, he insisted that with the
government set to increase the subsidy on offer to offshore wind energy
operators through its Renewables Obligation mechanism from next year, projects
were well positioned to turn a profit.
BWEA chairman Adam Bruce also argued that current "pinch points" in the
offshore wind supply chain were being addressed. He cited the example of one
barge operator focused on the North Sea oil and gas industry, which had recently
commissioned five new vessels for laying cables on the sea bed, primarily to
meet demand from offshore wind farms. "If you look at where the oil and gas
industry was 30 years ago you have a model for how quickly a sector can scale
up," he added.
Peter Hodgits of offshore renewables services specialist
SeaRoc agreed that concerns over
supply and skills shortages had been overblown. "There are the resources and the
skills out there," he said. "The log jam is with installation vessels, but it is
worth noting that the time it takes to build one of those vessels is a lot
shorter than the time it takes for a project to get through the planning system
and the sector is already attracting the attention of ship builders."
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