With Bear Stearns and Northern Rock having already fallen victim to the global credit crunch and doom mongers predicting recession could be on the way, can the cleantech sector continue its recent investment boom?
BusinessGreen.com asks some of the City's leading green investors whether cleantech has the potential to ride out the recent financial turmoil.
Stuart McKnight, director of
Ascendant
Consulting
"There is no sign the credit crunch is curbing the appetite for cleantech
investment; if you look at the source of capital for cleantech investment, much
funding comes from venture capital investments, there's been no change in the
level of investment – in fact, if anything, it's increased. That said, the
[credit] problems could affect large infrastructure projects such as wind farms
and other projects that require debt. Large biomass and recycling plants could
also be more vulnerable.
Matthew Clayton, investment manager at
Triodos Bank
"If anything, high oil prices should strengthen the renewable energy sector and
encourage people to invest in clean energy that is cheaper and more secure, long
term. I have no massive concern for companies getting funding. On the cleantech
side the picture is a little different and pioneering technology coming to
market could face difficulties as there is a restraint on the appetite for risk.
In development stage there is more scope for short-term problems."
Ian Simm, chief executive of green investment company
Impax
"There are regulatory frameworks in place in many parts of the world that
mandate minimum levels of installation of renewables over the medium term. This
will keep demand high despite the credit crunch. For example, the EU is close to
finalising legislation that will require that at least 20 per cent of power is
derived from renewable sources by 2020. This is expected to lead to at least
€150bn of additional investment. Similarly, the waste sector is seeing huge
capital expenditure, particularly as local authorities struggle to meet
governmental requirements to divert biodegradable waste from landfill. These
areas are unlikely to suffer heavily in a recession as the investment is
underpinned by legally binding targets."
Simon Webber, fund manager of the
Schroders Global Climate
Change Fund
"The demand outlook is good, but access to capital is marginally more difficult
for companies than before, and that is a factor. However, we're not seeing much
of a slowdown; there are even some new markets emerging."
Terry Coles, manager of
F&C’s Global Climate Change
Opportunities Fund
"We saw a big sell off in the solar space recently due to risk
aversion. Valuations were getting very stretched and coupled with market
turbulence and fears of recession there were worries about the demand side.
However, now interest rates are so low, financing is more stable. It's only the
short-term sentiment that hit the stocks.
Mark Shorrock, chief executive of
Low Carbon Accelerator
"Overall the cleantech sector is still relatively free of the crunch. The credit
crisis is mostly associated with consumer spending and consumers don’t usually
think, 'Ooh, I’ll go and buy a wind farm'. If you look at areas like solar it is
definitely here to stay with large incentives in sunny states in the US, Italy,
Greece and Spain driving interest."

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