Despite such a critical mission, the NAO has stood firm on its vow that it won’t be overstepping its bounds when it comes to the ‘foresight’ game, despite rallying cries from its counterparts across the pond.
But a sea-change towards greater ‘role of government’ research may turn out to be a natural progression as the body is increasingly relied upon as a safety net.
The NAO has drawn the line at going any further, but the grey area between insight and foresight, which is being championed in the US to a greater extent, rapidly hoves into view. It has already conducted risk-based studies for the troubled Olympic delivery programme and the Trident project.
Recently, David M Walker comptroller general of the Government Accountability Organisation, reported that the US was shifting towards more foresight activities. The contrast between the US and UK organisations was brought into sharp relief by Walker’s speech.
His stinging invective took aim at the US Congress in which he singled it out as having a ‘leadership deficit’ and it being ‘part of the problem’ of federal debt.
The NAO held firm on its stance that the insight role was foremost on its agenda.
‘We’re ready and expect to have early looks at large-scale programmes, in terms of highlighting risk, but we’re not the government and we don’t make policy. We’re not in the business of forecasting,’ it said.
The GAO monitors the implementation of Sarbox and decides whether reform elements similar to those in Sarbox make sense for the federal government, in addition to enhancing federal financial reporting with fiscal sustainability studies.
If, unlikely though it is, the US model was followed to the letter, the NAO could have a hand in making key decisions on IFRS policy.
The environment is a key political topic, but despite its objective position the NAO could be asked to make key assessments on the delivery of DEFRA’s climate change programme, which expected to rack up £620m in public spending costs by the end of the 2010 financial year.
The NAO is careful to stress that its scrutiny of public spending is ‘totally independent of government’ but this may well be an outmoded standpoint as its links with the focus, direction and delivery of key initiatives tighten.
NAO VS GAO: Bourn and Walker go head to head
Sir John Bourn
● Official title: Comptroller General of the Receipt and Issue of Her Majesty’s
Exchequer and Auditor General of Public Accounts.
● Organisation: National Audit Office
● NAO Mission: ‘To promote the highest standards in financial management and reporting’ and ‘proper conduct of public business and beneficial change in the provision of public services’
● Economics degree and PhD. from London School of Economics
● Former deputy under secretary of state for defence procurement at the Ministry of Defence
● Member of the United Nations panel of external auditors
David M Walker
● Official title: Comptroller General of the United States
● Organisation: Government Accountability Organisation
● GAO Mission: ‘To help improve the performance and assure the accountability of the federal government for the benefit of the American people’
● Certified public accountant at Jacksonville University and gained a senior management in government certificate at Harvard
● Between 1989 and 1998, Walker worked at Arthur Andersen where he was a partner and global managing director of the human capital services practice based in Atlanta, Georgia

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